CFA Level 1 Exam: Probability of Defective Electric Toothbrushes

Probability of Defective Electric Toothbrushes

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Question

Three defective electric toothbrushes were accidentally shipped to a drugstore by the manufacturer along with 17 nondefective ones. What is the probability that the first two electric toothbrushes sold will be returned to the drugstore because they are defective?

Answers

Explanations

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A. B. C. D. E.

E

3/20*2/19 = 3/190

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the probability that the first two electric toothbrushes sold will be defective.

Let's break down the problem step by step:

Step 1: Determine the total number of toothbrushes The problem states that there are three defective toothbrushes and 17 nondefective toothbrushes, resulting in a total of 20 toothbrushes (3 + 17 = 20).

Step 2: Calculate the probability of selecting a defective toothbrush first Since there are three defective toothbrushes out of a total of 20, the probability of selecting a defective toothbrush first is 3/20.

Step 3: Calculate the probability of selecting a defective toothbrush second After selling the first toothbrush, there will be two defective toothbrushes remaining out of the 19 remaining toothbrushes. Therefore, the probability of selecting a defective toothbrush second is 2/19.

Step 4: Calculate the overall probability To find the probability of both events happening (selling two defective toothbrushes in a row), we multiply the probabilities of each event. Therefore, the overall probability is (3/20) * (2/19) = 6/380 = 3/190.

So, the correct answer is option E: 3/190 or approximately 0.01579.

Please note that this explanation assumes that the toothbrushes are selected without replacement, meaning that once a toothbrush is sold, it is not put back into the pool of available toothbrushes.