A 1-year U.S. Treasury bill is priced to yield 4.10%. A 2-year U.S. Treasury security is priced to yield 4.65%. The 1-year forward rate one year from now is closest to:
Click on the arrows to vote for the correct answer
A. B. C.C
To calculate the 1-year forward rate one year from now, we can use the formula for calculating forward rates based on spot rates. The formula is as follows:
(1 + s2)^2 = (1 + s1) * (1 + f12)
Where: s1 = spot rate for 1 year (current 1-year Treasury bill yield) s2 = spot rate for 2 years (current 2-year Treasury security yield) f12 = 1-year forward rate one year from now
In this case, we are given: s1 = 4.10% = 0.0410 s2 = 4.65% = 0.0465
Let's substitute these values into the formula and solve for f12:
(1 + 0.0465)^2 = (1 + 0.0410) * (1 + f12)
Simplifying the equation:
(1.0465)^2 = 1.041 * (1 + f12)
1.09425225 = 1.041 + 1.041 * f12
Subtracting 1.041 from both sides:
0.05325225 = 1.041 * f12
Now, divide both sides by 1.041:
0.05325225 / 1.041 = f12
f12 ≈ 0.0511796
To express the answer as a percentage, we multiply by 100:
f12 ≈ 5.12%
Therefore, the 1-year forward rate one year from now is closest to 5.12%.
None of the provided answer options are exactly equal to 5.12%. The closest answer option is C. 5.20%, but it is still not an exact match.