Inflation Expectations | Adaptive Expectations Hypothesis | CFA Level 1 Exam

Adaptive Expectations Hypothesis

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Question

Use the table below to choose the correct answer.

Time Period Actual Inflation -

14 percent

24 percent

36 percent

48 percent

According to the adaptive expectations hypothesis, at the beginning of period 3, decision makers would expect inflation during period 3 to be ________.

Answers

Explanations

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A. B. C. D.

Explanation

Under the adaptive expectations hypothesis economic agents base their future expectations on actual outcomes observed during recent periods. Thus, the most recent periods suggest an inflation rate of 4 percent will persist in the future.