Risk Probability: Explained | PRINCE2 Foundation Exam Prep

Understanding Risk Probability in Project Management

Question

Which describes risk probability?

Answers

Explanations

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A. B. C. D.

D.

D. A measure of the likelihood of the risk occurring.

Risk probability refers to the likelihood of a risk event occurring. It is a measure of the chance or possibility of the risk event taking place, expressed in terms of a probability or percentage. In project management, it is essential to assess the probability of risks so that appropriate risk management strategies can be developed and implemented.

A risk event can have different probabilities, ranging from low to high. A low probability risk event means that the risk is unlikely to occur, while a high probability risk event means that the risk is very likely to occur. For example, a risk event with a 10% probability means that there is a 1 in 10 chance of the risk occurring.

Assessing risk probability involves identifying the factors that can contribute to the likelihood of the risk event occurring, such as the complexity of the project, the quality of resources, the skill level of the team, the availability of information, and the level of uncertainty.

Once the risk probability is determined, the project team can prioritize risks based on their likelihood and potential impact on the project objectives. This enables the project team to focus on the most critical risks and develop effective risk management strategies to mitigate or avoid them.