CISM Exam: Estimating Potential Loss in Quantitative Risk Analysis

Estimating Potential Loss in Quantitative Risk Analysis

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Question

When performing a quantitative risk analysis, which of the following is MOST important to estimate the potential loss?

Answers

Explanations

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A. B. C. D.

C.

Calculating the value of the information or asset is the first step in a risk analysis process to determine the impact to the organization, which is the ultimate goal.

Determining how much productivity could be lost and how much it would cost is a step in the estimation of potential risk process.

Knowing the impact if confidential information is disclosed is also a step in the estimation of potential risk.

Measuring the probability of occurrence for each threat identified is a step in performing a threat analysis and therefore a partial answer.

When performing a quantitative risk analysis, estimating the potential loss is a critical step to help organizations understand the impact of risks on their operations and identify the appropriate risk mitigation measures to take.

Out of the options provided, calculating the value of the information or asset (option C) is the most important factor to estimate the potential loss in a quantitative risk analysis. This is because the value of the asset or information directly affects the impact of a risk occurrence on an organization.

For example, if an organization has a high-value asset or information, the potential loss resulting from a risk event that could affect the asset would be greater than if the asset had a lower value.

To accurately estimate the potential loss, the organization must determine the asset's value, which can include both tangible and intangible factors such as financial impact, damage to reputation, legal liabilities, and regulatory compliance costs.

While evaluating productivity losses (option A), assessing the impact of confidential data disclosure (option B), and measuring the probability of occurrence of each threat (option D) are also important factors to consider in quantitative risk analysis, they do not provide as direct an indication of the potential loss as estimating the value of the asset or information at risk.

In summary, when performing a quantitative risk analysis, calculating the value of the asset or information is the most important factor to estimate the potential loss, which can help organizations prioritize and allocate resources for risk management efforts effectively.